Can Stats Tell Us How to Pick Winners of NFL Games?

For as long as gambling has been around people have tried to predict all sorts of outcomes, and not just for sporting events. How to pick winners of NFL games has become like astrology. Ok, people don't use tea leaves, coffee grounds or crystal balls but how long until someone claims their cat or dog knows how to pick winners of NFL games?

All things being equal the best team would win 100% of the time, or if teams were fairly equal the home team would have the advantage.

Sports aren't like that.

You cannot legislate for desire, for injuries and for poor play. For me sports is 95% information and stats and 5% the unknown, a botched snap, an error or a missed dunk or a defensive error, things you cannot possibly legislate for.

Or can you?

Picking winners of NFL games is hard but it can be done. Over the years people have compiled all sorts of stats on players, teams and coaches. Knowing how to pick winners of NFL games is still a bit of a lottery but with computers storing information on each team and their win-lost records in snow, rain, night games, day games, domes, on grass and turf we have more information on which to base a gambling decision. We can predict outcomes with more confidence. That doesn't mean the odd one won't slip through, look at the Arizona Cardinals, did anyone give them a chance to get to the Superbowl?

So should you just go with your gut feeling rather than stats and pundits?

The truth is in gambling there is always a measure of the unknown involved, yet I have heard about a system that takes stats and variables and can get the majority of picks right.

When the season starts again I shall use it and find out if this is true. For the time being I'll use the system for NBA and MLB.

Time will tell if this is a true breakthrough in sports betting. The trouble with breakthroughs though is once they happen and everybody knows about them the game is up and no-one wins. The system only works at 63% so until it reaches over 75% in my eyes the question of how to pick winners of NFL games remains a mystery.

I am J Robinson a seasoned marketer of 10 years who has been marketing online for 2 of those. I am also an investor in stocks and shares.

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